22 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1524
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rek
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1560
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 77% (56)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.