22 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Oldrich Stehlik
ELO 1642
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stehlik
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1572
FormLLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Stehlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)