22 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1573
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1548
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (61)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H16-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.