22 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1391
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jamrich
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1499
FormLLWWW
41%
59%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H14-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)