22 Jul · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1393
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1482
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)