22 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Oldrich Stehlik
ELO 1642
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lengal
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1666
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H20-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.