22 Jul · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1493
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Matus
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1393
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Matus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)