22 Jul · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1393
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlumsky
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1441
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.