22 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1666
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lengal
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1572
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)