22 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1572
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.922000
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1543
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · 2000
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.