22 Jul · 16:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1455
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1582
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 72% (40)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)