22 Jul · 17:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1463
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sochor
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1478
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Sochor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (27)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H8-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.