22 Jul · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1514
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1623
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H17-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)