22 Jul · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1509
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melichar
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1488
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.