22 Jul · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1682
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moravec
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1605
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H28-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-23)