22 Jul · 17:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1509
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1582
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)