22 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1525
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hendrych
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1467
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H39-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-32)