22 Jul · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jirasek
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jirasek
ELO 1565
FormLLLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Jirasek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H8-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)