22 Jul · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1592
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lysek
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1493
FormLWLWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 15% (13)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)