22 Jul · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1513
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lasota
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1448
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Lasota goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)