22 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1605
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kleprlik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (49)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.