22 Jul · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1547
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1605
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Kleprlik goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)