22 Jul · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1497
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Reska
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1448
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Reska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H9-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.