22 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1582
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Tichy
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1488
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)