22 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1478
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sochor
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1467
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvorak🌟Sochor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (27)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H41-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.