22 Jul · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1579
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1493
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (16)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)