22 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1525
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hendrych
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1478
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Sochor stays under total as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H14-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.