22 Jul · 16:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1682
FormLWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Moravec
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1547
FormLWLWW
61%
39%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)