22 Jul · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1497
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Reska
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
58%
42%
🌟Ogrocki stays under total as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)