22 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1682
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 72% (53)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)