22 Jul · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1448
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Branny
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.