22 Jul · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1392
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1521
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H25-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-8)