22 Jul · 22:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sarganek
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+216
H2H36-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-22)