22 Jul · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1521
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Flesar
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1435
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)