22 Jul · 22:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1720
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Bochnak
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1514
FormLWLWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+206
H2H37-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-17)