22 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1644
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Veliiev
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H16-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.