22 Jul · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1643
FormWLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Veliiev
DK
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1377
FormLLWWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
25%
3-2
14%
1-3
10%
2-3
10%
Elo Gap+266
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)