23 Jul · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1618
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chvatal
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1499
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)