23 Jul · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1415
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kantor
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Kantor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)