23 Jul · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1601
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (75)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.