23 Jul · 14:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1547
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.