23 Jul · 11:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (64)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.