23 Jul · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 86% (14)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.