23 Jul · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1542
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1609
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H17-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)