23 Jul · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Molin goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)