23 Jul · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1546
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1547
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H23-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.