23 Jul · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1601
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (75)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H52-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.