23 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1585
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hyza
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1542
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H11-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.