23 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1529
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sykora
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1522
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 67% (83)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H12-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.