23 Jul · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1580
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysek
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 15% (13)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)